Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 80901.003444 85418.853540 89936.834575 94790.736330 99854.716759 104978.790878 110552.310876
2025-05-04 73862.991563 80804.136861 87940.806123 95816.841114 104254.837932 113013.440615 122781.841350
2025-05-11 68214.669592 76763.689714 85748.747272 95875.361658 106949.784468 118671.576659 131995.253721
2025-05-18 63964.097056 73713.156781 84149.732314 96119.367887 109432.490154 123749.984071 140275.884251
2025-05-25 60385.281361 71065.493062 82685.270804 96216.297965 111487.894788 128137.839407 147609.482575
2025-06-01 57991.142296 69533.712989 82272.817152 97307.189781 114493.832638 133455.560703 155883.082433
2025-06-08 55091.557058 67238.113506 80826.651925 97066.631121 115854.631162 136813.214336 161863.274079
2025-06-15 53510.643765 66354.529128 80898.154585 98475.042432 119025.545977 142173.830760 170095.507789
2025-06-22 51733.738236 65135.958320 80488.429253 99241.234093 121386.746663 146560.740295 177187.701149
2025-06-29 49762.287283 63588.054698 79604.218639 99369.271723 122934.930862 149958.168563 183104.568980
2025-07-06 47915.309280 62105.510948 78721.435930 99428.152328 124342.289075 153148.721357 188755.339777
2025-07-13 47068.389250 61792.575509 79200.513959 101084.253290 127628.257576 158544.170530 197018.380670
2025-07-20 46117.113246 61330.244123 79491.460298 102522.733345 130685.138235 163725.353254 205120.933146
2025-07-27 44847.728005 60423.860632 79200.706451 103222.319899 132833.386611 167825.261255 211959.570990
2025-08-03 43303.622723 59113.522044 78359.807054 103198.748584 134064.107068 170800.880322 217442.901282
2025-08-10 41981.557909 58035.821676 77764.061766 103439.021619 135587.807481 174113.343045 223332.570476
2025-08-17 40671.803957 56926.562445 77086.103964 103537.803882 136906.290194 177158.214631 228894.318845
2025-08-24 39920.078781 56511.816023 77263.112629 104694.499501 139532.716811 181808.830166 236442.859700
2025-08-31 38581.003363 55281.901714 76357.785312 104439.050654 140357.655170 184219.722926 241228.378180
2025-09-07 38073.569040 55132.510800 76828.262838 105933.350110 143390.760594 189379.647071 249446.167945
2025-09-14 37303.447880 54604.502692 76784.084378 106746.179255 145548.158503 193449.666227 256325.388138
2025-09-21 36288.879198 53714.651043 76237.812215 106882.003108 146821.408330 196403.170454 261813.348614
2025-09-28 35291.648035 52817.791364 75654.582172 106944.464204 147981.487244 199204.850621 267113.936489